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Investing - Theory, News & General • Low future us stock market returns

OP,

Your individual portfolio return will not be the same as the stock market return. So, this is only of interest from theoretical point of view.

I am counting on my 60/40 portfolio with rebalancing to enjoy greater return from higher volatility.

KlangFool
?

But a 60/40 portfolio, most of the time, has less volatility than 100% stocks....
Presumably what Klang is counting on is illustrated by the example of a class of 2000 retiree. There are some similarities to today's conditions (i.e. high stock valuations based on CAPE, bonds offering decent real yields). A class of 2000 retiree is experiencing a better outcome with a balanced portfolio versus 100% stocks or 100% bonds.

https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/bac ... 3vyGVL7aVo

This backtest shows this clearly. 60/40 beat 100% stocks and 100% bonds. Enough wealth was preserved by bonds to allow the portfolio more room to recover, while having a healthy allocation to equities eventually provided the growth necessary for portfolio survival.

Klang has a valid point.

Statistics: Posted by loukycpa — Thu Apr 25, 2024 7:11 am — Replies 26 — Views 2546



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