Quantcast
Channel: Bogleheads.org
Viewing all articles
Browse latest Browse all 4565

Investing - Theory, News & General • Low future us stock market returns

$
0
0
OP,

Your individual portfolio return will not be the same as the stock market return. So, this is only of interest from theoretical point of view.

I am counting on my 60/40 portfolio with rebalancing to enjoy greater return from higher volatility.

KlangFool
?

But a 60/40 portfolio, most of the time, has less volatility than 100% stocks....
Presumably what Klang is counting on is illustrated by the example of a class of 2000 retiree. There are some similarities to today's conditions (i.e. high stock valuations based on CAPE, bonds offering decent real yields). A class of 2000 retiree is experiencing a better outcome with a balanced portfolio versus 100% stocks or 100% bonds.

https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/bac ... 3vyGVL7aVo

This backtest shows this clearly. 60/40 beat 100% stocks and 100% bonds. Enough wealth was preserved by bonds to allow the portfolio more room to recover, while having a healthy allocation to equities eventually provided the growth necessary for portfolio survival.

Klang has a valid point.

Statistics: Posted by loukycpa — Thu Apr 25, 2024 7:11 am — Replies 26 — Views 2546



Viewing all articles
Browse latest Browse all 4565

Trending Articles



<script src="https://jsc.adskeeper.com/r/s/rssing.com.1596347.js" async> </script>