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Personal Investments • Where to go from SGOV

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Stocks pretty reliably go up over longer spans of time. We can say no such thing about interest rates, although they have been quite low for much of the 2000's.
Ha. Recency bias.
Look at the Japanese stock market and think about that.
Up over 400% since 2012? Yes I agree, that recent performance is an anomaly and I don't anticipate it will continue at this pace for much longer.
0.4% return since Oct 1 1989 despite recent good performance
If one invested in Japan index in 1989 you didn't break even for next 20 years.
So how is it that stocks reliably go up over longer span of time ? Is 30+ years not a long time ?

How many investors actually stuck with a Japan index after 20 years of loss ?
I'll be most people never recovered because they gave up just before it came back.
Just look at the number of "why international" threads over last few years.

Stocks are not "reliably up". People assert that at the end of a bull market. Watch out.
I am sure the Romans thought their economy would only keep growing.
Okay don't invest everything in the N225 or the Hadrianeum Stock Exchange, got it.

Statistics: Posted by z3r0c00l — Sat May 11, 2024 9:46 am — Replies 13 — Views 1213



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